市場概況

Dollar steadies and gold holds gains as traders eye Fed and UK inflation 

ADFXチーム

Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD traded a 48.95 range on Tuesday, setting the session high at 4354.9 at 15:59 after marking the low at 4305.95 at 01:28. It opened at 4309.64 and settled at 4330.92, up 21.28 on the day, a gain of 0.494%. The intraday range represented 1.14% of the opening price. Price action dipped in the opening hour toward the 4300 area, holding above that round level before rotating higher through the European afternoon to test and briefly trade above 4350. Into the New York close, the market eased back, finishing near the middle of the day’s range and modestly below the 4350 area. On the hourly timeframe, the close at 4330.92 sat just under the H1 20-period simple moving average at 4333.65. On the daily backdrop, spot remained below the Bollinger middle band at 4394.99 and above the lower band at 4123.61, while the D1 MACD signal line stayed negative at -89.66. The instrument continues to trade well above the 10-day low at 4023.92. Intraday structure was defined by an early session trough followed by a steady ascent to the afternoon peak and a late pullback, with the settlement roughly midway between the day’s extremes. Round-number references were active, with price defending the 4300 area early and later probing 4350 without a close above it.

DJ30 
DJ30 ended the 01:00–04:19 window at 51802.45, down 21.55 points (-0.04%) after traversing an 85.35-point range, equal to 0.16% of the opening level. The high was set immediately at 01:00 at 51839.5, followed by a slide to the session low of 51754.15 at 02:13, establishing a high-before-low sequence before prices retraced into the close. It opened at 51824.0 and settled below that mark, finishing in the upper half of the day’s range, roughly 37 points beneath the peak and about 48 points above the trough. Price action interacted with the 51800 figure several times and ultimately finished just above it, with the close nearest the 51800 handle. On the intraday backdrop, the close remained above the H1 21-EMA, which printed 51768.92, framing the late recovery relative to the mid-session low. Momentum readings showed H1 RSI14 at 57.48 into the close, while the H4 RSI14 stood at 78.38, adding context to the broader backdrop across timeframes. No new multi-day extremes were flagged in this interval, and there were no outsized deviations versus the brief range parameters noted. Overall, trade began with an early uptick to the session high at the open, rotated lower into 02:13, and then stabilized into the final hour, concluding slightly under the opening print but above the intraday average reference and close to the 51800 round level.

EURUSD 
EURUSD traded a 0.0045 session range, narrower than the 14‑day ATR of 0.0054, and settled in the upper half of that span. The pair opened around 1.16 at 00:00 server time, set the day’s low at 09:00 near 1.16, then advanced to the high at 19:22 near 1.16 before easing slightly into the close. It finished at 1.16, up 0.0015 on the day, a gain of 0.13%. Price action followed a low‑before‑high sequence, with the 1.16 handle featuring repeatedly: the market dipped under it early, reclaimed it through the middle of the session, and closed just above it. The close sat closer to the top of the daily range than the bottom, roughly one‑third below the intraday high and about two‑thirds above the low, while the high at 19:22 left trade shy of the next round‑number area overhead. By the numbers, the day’s range equated to 0.39% of the open, consistent with a contained session relative to recent daily volatility. On higher timeframes, H4 MACD and its signal line were both positioned at 0.0, aligning on the zero line into the session end, while the daily ATR context framed intraday moves as below the prevailing 14‑day average. Overall, the session concluded with EURUSD holding above the 1.16 figure after traversing both sides of that handle and printing its high late in the day. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

Rate decisions set the tone over the past day: the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.0 percent from 0.75, while the Reserve Bank of Australia held steady at 4.35 percent, unchanged from 4.35 previously. Looking ahead, the focus shifts to inflation in the UK and US policy. At 09:00 server time, UK CPI year over year is expected at 3.4 percent after 2.8 percent previously; a stronger-than-forecast print would typically firm tightening expectations. The day culminates at 21:00 server time with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision; the prior policy rate was 3.75 percent. Heightened volatility is possible around the Fed release. 

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