Australian Dollar Face Tests: RBA Easing Bet, Risk Sentiment
On Wednesday, the latest Australian Monthly CPI Indicator showed headline inflation rising by 2.1% year-on-year in May, down from 2.4% in April—marking the slowest annual increase since October 2024. The trimmed mean CPI—the RBA’s preferred core inflation gauge—also eas…
Gold and Oil at a Crossroads as Geopolitical Risks Recede
Tensions in the Middle East took a dramatic turn on Monday after U.S. President Trump announced a “complete and total” ceasefire between Israel and Iran, following nearly two weeks of intense military confrontation. The ceasefire—reportedly brokered through Qatar—came a…
Geopolitical & Economic Outlook to Drive Market Sentiment
Global equities opened the week on a weaker note, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions following U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Meanwhile, last week’s central bank decisions were largely in line with expectations, prompting markets to shift focus to…
Policy Divergence as BoE Holds Steady, SNB Cuts to Zero;GBPCHF Set for More Gain?
The central bank events on Thursday highlighted diverging monetary policy paths, with the Bank of England (BoE) holding rates steady while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) delivered another rate cut—bringing its benchmark rate back to zero for the first time since its tigh…
Fed Holds Rate Unchanged—US Dollar, Equites Remain Mixed on Cautious Outlook
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected. The latest dot plot from the June Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) still suggests two rate cuts in 2025. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, urging…